Environmental Science26 February 2026

The Future of the Biden Clean Energy Policy: Why Local Governors Are Getting the Credit

Source PublicationProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Primary AuthorsGazmararian, Jensen, Tingley

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For years, political scientists have struggled to measure exactly how large-scale climate investments translate into voter goodwill. A new observational study, based specifically on geolocated U.S. survey data, finally bypasses this limitation by linking public opinion directly to the physical rollout of the Biden clean energy policy. Researchers mapped out exactly where green manufacturing and renewable energy facilities are appearing. They then tracked who local residents actually credit for these massive infrastructure projects.

The Context Behind the Biden Clean Energy Policy

The United States recently enacted its largest federal framework to incentivise decarbonisation. The goal was to build a robust green economy while securing public support for future climate action. However, federal spending is notoriously difficult for the average citizen to trace. When a new solar plant or battery factory opens nearby, the origin of the funding is rarely obvious to the local community.

What the Data Actually Measured

The research team measured project visibility and credit attribution using survey data, investment records, and public statements. They found that people living close to new green facilities clearly notice the new developments. Yet, the study measured a surprising disconnect in political attribution. Residents are not more likely to credit the White House for the influx of green jobs and infrastructure. Instead, the data shows that the public largely views state governors as the primary drivers of these projects. This aligns with the communication environment, where governors frequently claim direct credit for local economic growth. Furthermore, the study recorded that private companies tend to distribute praise broadly across various political actors. This creates a highly fragmented information ecosystem for the voter.

How This Shapes the Next Decade

As we look toward the next five to ten years, this dynamic will heavily influence how national governments design and communicate climate legislation. The findings suggest that less traceable funding mechanisms may fail to build the sustained national consensus required for long-term decarbonisation. Without clear political rewards, future administrations could struggle to justify massive climate budgets. If federal leaders want to maintain momentum for green energy transitions, they will need to address this fragmented information environment. Over the coming decade, the success of large-scale climate frameworks will likely depend on making the origins of green spending much more transparent to the average voter, rather than relying on indirect financial incentives alone. The transition to a clean energy economy is physically taking shape right in our back gardens. However, ensuring the political durability of these programmes suggests a need for a much clearer line of communication between the capital and the local community. The next decade of climate action will rely just as much on effective public relations as it does on scientific innovation.

Cite this Article (Harvard Style)

Gazmararian, Jensen, Tingley (2026). 'Why Biden-era clean energy investment policies had limited political returns. '. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2526802123

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How do clean energy investments affect public opinion?Green EconomyClimate PolicyPublic support for US climate policy