How Wildfires and Volcanoes Pump Stratospheric Water Vapor into the Sky
Source PublicationNature
Primary AuthorsPeng, Randel, Toon et al.

Imagine clearing storage space on your phone, only for background apps to silently download gigabytes of unwanted data. That is exactly how our atmosphere behaves. Around the year 2000, the stratosphere experienced a sudden dry spell, but unexpected "background apps" have quietly refilled the reservoir.
The Hidden Drivers of Stratospheric Water Vapor
Scientists tracking atmospheric composition discovered that moderate volcanic eruptions and extreme wildfires since 2005 have systematically pumped moisture into the stratosphere. By analysing satellite data and climate models, researchers measured an accumulation of 76 to 203 million tonnes of water vapour. Volcanoes warm the tropopause to let moisture slip through, whilst massive wildfires use a "self-lofting" mechanism to carry water upwards.
This combined activity accounted for roughly 36% of the recent moisture increase. This influx effectively offset the drying observed two decades ago, showing that natural and fire-driven events have a much larger impact than previously assumed.
Why This Matters for Your Future
As global temperatures rise, extreme wildfires are projected to become more frequent and intense. This study suggests that these intensifying fires could continuously alter stratospheric chemistry. Future climate models must account for these aerosol-driven processes to accurately predict global warming rates and the recovery of the ozone layer.